Thursday, May 18th
| 09:00-09:30 | registration |
| 09:30-10:30 | keynote: Chiara Ambrosio |
| Ampliative reasoning from an integrated HPS perspective: some insights from Peirce and Whewell | |
| coffee break | |
| 11:00-12:30 | Jos Hornikx |
| Reasoning with a limited number of observations: Testing the case of popular opinion from a Bayesian perspective | |
| Rafal Urbaniak | |
| Narration in judiciary fact-finding: a probabilistic explication | |
| Jared Millson, Kareem Khalifa & Mark Risjord | |
| Explanation as inference (… to the best explanation?) | |
| lunch break | |
| 13:30-15:00 | Anna-Sophie Heinemann |
| How ‘formal’ is the ‘logic of chance’? John Venn’s account of probable inference between ‘conceptualism’ and ‘materialism’ in logic | |
| Steffen Ducheyne | |
| Newton, the regulae philosophandi, and ampliative reasoning | |
| Jagdish Hattiangadi | |
| Difficulties in the way of a formal theory of Baconian induction | |
| coffee break | |
| 15:30-16:30 | Matteo Colombo, Leandra Bucher & Jan Sprenger |
| Determinants of judgments of explanatory power. Credibility, generality, and statistical relevance | |
| Naftali Weinberger | |
| Does causal extrapolation involve ampliative inferences? | |
| coffee break | |
| 17:00-18:00 | keynote: Jon Williamson |
| Establishing causal claims in medicine | |
| 19:00 | workshop dinner |
Friday, May 19th
| 09:30-10:30 | keynote: Ulrike Hahn |
| Bayesian reasoning for non-statistical contexts | |
| coffee break | |
| 11:00-12:30 | Raoul Gervais & Dingmar van Eck |
| Varieties of evidence in causal, ampliative reasoning: the case of circadian rhythms | |
| Mariusz Urbański, Dorota Żelechowska & Natalia Żyluk | |
| Catching abduction. On two instruments for research on abductive reasoning | |
| Patrick Allo | |
| Tracking common information and public announcements in Polymath. Implementing an abductive methodology for the study of online collaboration | |
| lunch break | |
| 14:00-15:00 | Szymon Chlebowski, Andrzej Gajda & Mariusz Urbański |
| Logic of questions, abduction, and paraconsistency | |
| Diderik Batens | |
| Role and teachings of unconscious ampliative steps. Notes on the methodology of ampliative reasoning | |
| coffee break | |
| 15:30-16:30 | Mark Faller |
| Recollecting Peirce’s abduction through Plato’s geometry | |
| Claudia Cristalli & Francesco Bellucci | |
| On introducing and justifying ampliative reasoning. A vindication from Charles S. Peirce | |
| coffee break | |
| 17:00-18:00 | Raphael Scholl |
| Beyond the bad lot: A historical study of causal inferences in exhaustive hypothesis spaces | |
| Antonio Duarte Calvo | |
| Bru’s and Cuvier’s abductions in the discovery of the megatherium | |
| 18:00 | drinks |